rob knight

9/17 - Rob Knight's Friday Afternoon "Wet Weekend" Forecast

The surface remnants of Nicholas will continue to fill today and drift towards northern Louisiana before completely dissipating. However, an upper level disturbance presently centered over northeast Texas will slide southeast which will use the lingering deep moisture to provide renewed…

9/17 - Rob Knight's "Wet & Damp" Friday Morning Forecast

The low level remnants of Nicholas continue to spin across the region producing scattered showers and thunderstorms. Expect the scattered precip to continue with increased activity this afternoon coupled with daytime heating. Activity will become more isolated overnight with areas…

9/16 - Rob Knight's "Friday-Eve" Afternoon Forecast

The remnants of Nicholas will linger through Louisiana bringing strong moisture flow from the GOM. With a very saturated ground, rain rates would surely push areas into flash flooding. The majority of this should be diurnally driven but some areas…

9/16 - Rob's "Remnants of Nicholas" Morning Forecast

Focus will become more toward rainfall rates and not as much on totals area wide. Rates could be around 2 to 3 inches per hour today through Saturday and isolated areas could see 3 to 5 inches over that time frame.…

9/15 - Rob's "Threat For Heavy Rain" Afternoon Forecast

The main concern the next few days will be heavy rainfall, with the potential for ongoing flash flooding.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH and COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY is ins effect Hourly rainfall rates can be 1.5 to 2 inches (and possibly…

9/15 - Rob Knight's "Flash Flood Watch" Morning Forecast

TD Nicholas is weakening near the Lake Charles area. Drier air has been wrapping around the southwest quadrant of the storm. Satellite appearance is more resembling of an extra-tropical pattern. The main concern will, of course, be heavy rainfall, with the largest…

9/14 - Rob Knight's "Soggy" Tuesday Afternoon Forecast

The moisture fetch over the gulf will increase along with wind speeds to around 15-25 kt and remain there for about 24 hours maybe a bit longer. This will be enough to bring up a Coastal Flood advisory for values…

9/13 - Rob's "Gray/Cloudy" Monday Afternoon Forecast

As TS Nicholas lingers in the western/NW'Tern Gulf, the moisture flow will dominate the region. Activity will be moving at a good pace for the next few days which will help keep rainfall totals for any individual storm within tolerance.…

9/9 - Rob's "Very Low Humidity" Afternoon Forecast

Very low humidity will at the very least be noticeable by most as the relatively dry air will make things feel a bit more comfortable. The comfortable conditions will continue through Saturday before the return flow slowly begins to work…

9/7 - Rob's "Gray & Gloomy" Morning Forecast

A frontal boundary will remain nearly stationary across the forecast area, while gradually dissipating. Showers and t-storms will affect the area with the potential for pockets of more heavy rainfall will exist. The Weather Prediction Center continues to outlook most…

9/6 - Rob's Monday Afternoon "Wet Pattern" Forecast

A cold front will drop southeast into the forecast area, providing showers/T-Storms along the front to impact the area into tonight. Deep tropical moisture should be in place with the possibility for isolated pockets of heavy rainfall through mid-week. There…

9/3 - Rob's "Less Humid" Labor Day Weekend Forecast

This afternoon will bring hot temperatures in the wake of yesterday's cold front. Temperatures will climb to around 90 degrees but will be rather tolerable a a less humid flow continues to dominate the region. The aforementioned frontal boundary will…

9/1 Rob's "1st Day of September" Afternoon Forecast

A surface low associated with Tropical Depression Ida will continue to move NE, dragging a weak cold front into south Mississippi Thursday morning. Northwesterly flow aloft will develop across the area today between the upper level High pressure over Texas…

8/31 - Rob's "Tropical Moisture" Tuesday Morning Forecast

Trailing feeder bands in the wake of now remnant Ida will continue to drag across the area thorough today. These bands will slowly press southeastward into the Gulf through the morning and late afternoon. Despite southeastward movement of the band,…

8/30 - Rob Knight's "Monday Morning/Ida Update" Forecast

With IDA to the NNW moving towards north central Mississippi, expect gradual improvement through today. Widespread rain across the area will continue and gradually decrease to scattered showers later today as Ida tracks slowly to the north. After the center…

8/29 - Rob Knight's Sunday Morning 10 AM Hurricane Ida Update

​Ida's rapid strengthening appears to have leveled off within the past hour or so.  NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft that have been in the storm this morning have reported peak flight-level winds of 146 to 148 kt between…

8/27 - Rob's "Tracking The Tropics/Ida" Weekend Forecast

Guidance is relatively tight in terms of Louisiana as the most likely to be impacted. The timing and the intensity of Ida is the main forecast concerns. Ia could potentially become a MAJOR HURRICANE prior to making landfall in SE…