8/27 – Rob’s “Tracking The Tropics/Ida” Weekend Forecast
Guidance is relatively tight in terms of Louisiana as the most likely to be impacted. The timing and the intensity of Ida is the main forecast concerns. Ia could potentially become a MAJOR HURRICANE prior to making landfall in SE Louisiana.
HURRICANE WATCHES have been issued for coastal Mississippi, with a TROPICAL STORM WATCH inland and to the east.
Now is the time to make sure you are prepped and ready. Don’t get stuck on the exact track, as track errors 3 days out is about 120 miles, and impacts can extend well outside the cone.
Ida will follow in the wake of a tropical wave and is expected to directly impact the entire forecast area as early as Sunday morning and continuing through Monday.
Ida will continue to bring direct impacts to the entire forecast area throughout the day on Sunday with slowly improving conditions into Monday. In the wake of the tropical system, deep layer northerly flow will take hold by Tuesday and remain in place on Wednesday. This northerly flow pattern will advect some drier mid-level air into the region.