8/22 – Payton’s Thursday Afternoon Forecast

We continue in the same pattern with warm afternoons with popup showers and t-storms. The pattern will trend wetter as we head into the weekend. A tropical wave and upper level low will increase moisture and rain chances by Friday and into the weekend. While it won’t rain all day there will be on and off downpours that produce heavy rainfall. Flash flooding will be the primary concern although the threat it low. The wave could gradually organize, but regardless the forecast will be the same. Rainfall is likely this weekend. By next week a cold front approaches and could make it through the area, which would mean rain chances until it moves through. It’s possible it stalls in the area and we don’t feel any relief, but it’s possible it moves into the northern Gulf of Mexico. If that’s the case we’ll have to keep an eye on it for tropical development. All that is far out though and much can change.

TROPICS: A disturbance near The Bahamas will bring heavier rain to Florida over the next few days before moving along the East Coast. It will have to be watched for tropical development. A few tropical waves in the Atlantic will have to be watched too, but right now most models keep the open Atlantic quiet through the weekend.

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