09/28 Ryan’s “Wonderful Wednesday” Night Forecast
What a wonderful Wednesday for weather in South Mississippi! Very few clouds were expected to hang around today, but the cloudless skies moved in a day early, causing a slight bump in today’s high temperature (90). Tomorrow’s (Thursday) high temperature will be significantly cooler, despite another sunny cloudless day as the Northerly winds and drier air continue to build. We’ll be right in the heart of the cold pool by Friday afternoon, where we’ll see thee coolest temperatures since May, daytime high near 80 on the coastline. Rain doesn’t show up in the forecast until next Wednesday, and even then it’ll just be a slight chance (20%) ahead of a potential cold front.
TS Matthew formed earlier today in the Atlantic and is already hammering the lesser Antilles with strong tropical storm force winds. The forecast path has it continuing West through the weekend, and then making a sharp turn toward the North, but the models are not highly confident as to how sharp this turn will be, or when exactly it will occur. It should also be noted that Hurricane Ivan (2004) had a similar projected path to Matthew and ended up pushing further West and making landfall near the AL/FL state line. Clearly that doesn’t mean it will happen again, but we will continue to monitor the development of this intensifying system over the next week.