3/8 – Rob’s COLD Thursday Morning Forecast
High pressure centered near the Texas-Louisiana border early this morning, extending northward into the Dakotas.
Main concern for the short term period will be the weather system moving across the southeast Saturday and Saturday night. Until then, the high pressure just to the west of the area will move slowly eastward, and be centered over Florida Friday night. Similar to this morning, a few well sheltered locations are likely to get into the mid 30s for lows and report some patchy frost tonight. Temperatures and dew points will moderate toward a more reasonable level Friday and Friday night.
A warm front is expected to set up near or north of the northern edge of the region Friday night. Western portions of the region could see a few showers by sunrise Saturday, with the entire area likely to see showers and thunderstorms Saturday, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. Models show a marginal risk of severe weather over southwest Mississippi, and would not be shocked to see that area expanded slightly over the next 48 hours. Temperatures Saturday will depend on how much sunshine we get early in the day, but some areas likely to be near 80 degrees
The system pulls east of the area Sunday, with a few showers possibly lingering into the daytime hours. With the surface low being a southern stream system, it will not have significant cold air following it, so Sunday should remain relatively warm. As a northern stream shortwave moves into the base of the eastern trough Sunday night and Monday, cooler air will return to the area on Monday. Cool and dry weather is then anticipated into the middle of the work week.