2/19 – Rob’s “Bumpy Workweek” Forecast
Strong lift through the atmosphere has developed t-storms to our west this morning. A surface low-pressure over the western gulf will also move north lifting the warm front rapidly inland by this afternoon and evening. A cold front will move into the area behind the low, but will do so very slowly. There will be showers/t-storms ahead of and along the boundary which will begin to affect areas roughly around or just after midnight tonight into Wednesday morning.
Some of the thunderstorms could be strong or even severe and SPC (storm PREDICTION center) has the area in a marginal risk of severe.
Again this should be starting for the northwest third of the region around midnight and slowly move eastward through the day. This risk area then moves over the eastern half of the area starting around 8am Wednesday. Heavy rainfall will accompany these storms as well and accumulations could be from 1 to 3 inches with isolated higher amounts possible through 6am Thursday. The area has been dry for several days and can handle this amount if spread out over time. But these cells will be training as the system moves slowly east. This could cause some locations to pick these tallies up rather quickly causing some flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas. Higher total accumulations will show up as we approach the weekend. Rainfall will be on and off through Saturday. The dry periods look to be Thursday night into a portion of Friday morning and again Sunday. Rain then moves back into the area for the beginning of next week.
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY is in effect for Hancock County.