11/14 – Rob’s “EARLY WINTER” Morning Forecast

An upper level low centered over northeast Texas will push east-northeast across Arkansas today. This will finally bring an end to the ongoing wet period. Models all agree that the rain will slowly and steadily shift east through this morning.

Post frontal air mass with the combination of overcast skies and strong cold air advection will limit warming considerably. Highs will once again struggle to get out of the mid 40s which is only a few degrees from the current temp and 25 to 30 degrees below normal.

The remainder of this week and into the weekend looks to be a dry forecast as high pressure builds in.

Continental air mass will be bringing the first light freeze of this fall season to the area Thursday morning.

Temperatures will moderate Friday and Saturday as the upper low ejects northeast. A reinforcing cold front will move through the area Sunday night. Rain chances are not very likely as it will be a moisture starved boundary due to a lack of return flow ahead of it and generally just slightly strengthen northerly surface flow.