5/24 – Rob Knight’s “Wet Pattern Continues” Tuesday Morning Forecast
An upper level High-pressure remains off the Atlantic Coast with southwesterly upper flow across much of the southeast. Scattered showers and t-storms will taper off this afternoon with more rain ahead.
Wednesday and Thursday, however, is a different story. Moisture flow values return to the very high spectrum Wednesday afternoon, and potentially a little higher overnight into Thursday. An upper low/trough will move from Colorado tonight into the Ohio Valley by Friday morning. This will push a front slowly across the area Wednesday evening into Thursday morning with the potential for one or more rounds of thunderstorms during that period. Widespread heavy rainfall is likely during that period. Current indications would see many areas receive 3-5 inches of rain by the time the front moves through. While the area has been in drought for much of the last 6 months, the last few days have moistened up the surface layer enough that this rainfall could induce problems.
There is at least a limited low end threat for severe weather with any of these storms, primarily strong winds. By Friday morning, the previously mentioned cold front should be well east of the area and into Florida. Surface high pressure and upper ridging quickly builds in behind the front and we will see dry weather return.