3/30 – Rob’s “Good Friday” Morning Forecast

Out with the cold front and in with a reinforcing boundary this morning. Ahead of it, a subsidence inversion has set up and has caused winds to decouple making for a very light breeze at the surface. Moisture is plentiful in the boundary layer as the inversion has helped keep moisture locked near or at the surface. All this has caused patchy dense fog this morning. The fog will quickly dissipate once the new boundary moves through which should be around daylight for most of the area.

Very dry but moderately cool air will continue to filter into the area today and Saturday. Sunday will be a transition day as winds will begin to veer around to a more easterly and eventually southeasterly direction by Monday bringing moisture back to the area. But rain chances should not go up too fast until mid-week as another cold front approaches. This time of year, there is almost always a chance of strong or severe thunderstorms associated with systems as they move through. The next system will be no different and the best timing of showers/t-storms with this front should be either late Tuesday night and/or during the day Wednesday. High pressure once again bridges the southern end of this front as it moves into the gulf, or at least that is what the models are hinting at. This would lead to a weakening trend for showers/t-storms activity along the southern end of the front as it moves through the northern gulf late in the day Wednesday into Wednesday night. We could see an even more progressive pattern towards the end of next week.

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