3/1 – Rob Knight’s “Mardi Gras Weekend Parade” Forecast
The concern for this afternoon is a stalled boundary along the I-10 corridor. With that front stalled, the combination of increasing surface convergence and heating will promote shower and thunderstorm development.
The next big impact will be Sunday with a frontal passage. Leading up that on Saturday, a few showers will begin developing as moisture begins surging northward. Mid 60 dew-points along with temps warming up to almost 80 will be conducive for at least scattered showers.
Sunday on the other hand, is looking much more impactful than Saturday…with precipitation chances around 80% in the area.
Guidance is suggesting damaging wind potential, hail as well as tornadoes being the lowest threat. SPC now has the area in a Slight Risk for Sunday.
A few days of cold and quiet weather will return early next week as post frontal air mass moves in. Temperatures will drop significantly as well. A drop of nearly 40 degrees will be possible in some locations. Expect a few days of highs only in the 50s and lows in the 30s to 40s. Lows near freezing look to be possible for northern portions of the interior counties Wednesday morning.