6/2 – Rob Knight’s Tuesday Afternoon “Tropical Update” Forecast


Well, looks like our relatively dry period will be coming to an end for the foreseeable future. Starting with today, subsidence aloft will weaken as the ridge begins the start of its breakdown. This should allow for daytime heating to spark of scattered showers and thunderstorms. There will be a gradient of lower to higher precip chances from east to west because the ridge is centered west of the area. That means east of I-55 should see the most coverage. Convection should knock off quickly after sunset.

A weak upper level trough will track east across the mid-section of the country Wednesday and gradually deepen as it moves across the eastern third of the CONUS. The will continue the process of breaking down the ridge that was over the local area. A weaker ridge will allow for higher coverage and the Wednesday-Friday forecast shows that with rain chances ranging from 50% to 70%.

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The driver of this weekend and beyond forecast looks to be the evolution of the tropical feature currently in the bottom of the Bay of Campeche. A few models have a weak low pressure in the northern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the weekend. Meanwhile the NHC forecast suggests a slower progression northward. Either way, it’s good to get hurricane supplies stocked up now because it’s just the beginning of hurricane season.

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Chief Meteorologist Rob Knight is a familiar face along the Mississippi Gulf Coast, having been an on-air personality in the local area since 2005. Rob is originally from New York, but traveled and forecasted weather around the world as an active duty member of the United States Air Force since 1992. In 2005, after 13 years in the USAF, Rob made the transition back to the public sector as an on-air meteorologist, six months prior to Hurricane Katrina. Rob says “Meteorology is not a job for me, it’s my passion. I’m fortunate enough to have been in this wonderfully challenging field since 1992. I solve mysteries. The atmosphere gives you clues and you have to figure out what it’s going to do. How fun is that?” Rob holds a Bachelor's degree in Meteorology from Florida Institute of Technology, along with several military degrees. He is also a member of the National Weather Association. When his attention isn’t focused on weather, it’s on real estate. Rob and his wife own a local realty. Rob loves to spend time volunteering in the local community, and often works with the Boys and Girls Club, the Humane Society, and several others. On a cool south Mississippi Saturday morning, Rob is usually at one of the many beautiful golf courses.


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