2/5 – Rob’s “SEVERE THREAT” Midday Forecast
As temps warm into the mid-70s, the atmosphere will destabilize and storms will ignite this afternoon. Based on the overall picture, thinking this will be a damaging wind event with a few tornadoes possible. SPC maintained a slight risk across the entire area. Activity will flare up early afternoon with a second bout of storms rolling through around 6pm. That second round may be the stronger of the two.
After the first 2 waves of storms move through, a third wave of rain looks to impact the southeastern portion of the area Wednesday night into Thursday morning. South Mississippi is under a FLASH FLOOD WATCH until Thursday evening, as rainfall totals could average 2 to 4 inches.
The rain will be ending late Thursday afternoon/evening as the main axis of the trough swings through. This should provide a weekend of pleasant weather with temps in the realm of climatology for a day or so before warming above normal. A few models are now showing the potential for rain Saturday as a secondary cold front swings through. Any rain will probably be brief with low impacts as moisture return before the front should be limited.