2/3 – Rob’s “Warming Trend” Wednesday Morning Forecast

Another quiet and pleasant day expected across the region. The main concern in the next 72 hours is the cold front coming in Thursday night or Friday. We will be rather quiet for the next 48 hours however you will notice a significant change across the region from what we see today and what it will feel like on Thursday. High pressure currently building into the area will provide one more day of near normal to slightly below normal temps before we see a noticeable warm up on Thursday.

Thursday night and Friday, The first in a wave of disturbances will work through the area. This is expected to drive a cold front into the area early Friday and could be in the Gulf shortly after sunrise. After the front gets in the Gulf how much farther south it works is in question. This front will bring showers to the area but with little instability and upper level support I’m not anticipating any thunder at this time. Rain could even come to an end be midday/early afternoon if the front moves fast enough and far enough to the south.

Confidence in the forecast past Saturday is very low. The models continue to swing wildly and even the ensemble means have had larger than typical shifts. With so much uncertainty in the forecast, don’t be surprised to see large changes in the forecast for Sunday and early next week as we get later into the work week and get a better feel of the pattern.

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