1/3 – Rob’s “FLASH FLOOD WATCH” Morning Forecast
The main forecast issue for the forecast will be the first 24 hours. An upper-level area of low-pressure currently located near the Texas/New Mexico border will move eastward over the next couple of days, crossing Mississippi on Friday.
A very saturated environment will lead to more rain, and with an already saturated ground across the area, FLASH FLOODING could certainly occur.
Guidance is similar with bringing a dry slot across the area sometime around midnight tonight, which should end the threat of widespread heavy rain. There could be a little bit of wrap-around light rain across southwest Mississippi Friday morning, but other than that, dry weather is expected through the weekend after tonight.
Temperature forecast for today will be totally dependent on whether a location gets into the warm sector or not. Warm sector highs will be in the upper 60s to around 70, while areas remaining in the cool sector will likely not get much past 60…and could remain in the 50s.
Only notable weather in the extended period will be the passage of a cold front in the Monday night/Tuesday morning time range. This system won’t have much in the way of moisture to work with, and will only carry minimal precip chances for Monday night. The air mass both ahead of and behind front is of Pacific origin, so above normal temperatures will be the result. Monday and Tuesday should be the warmest days with high temps into the 70s.