A surface low associated with Tropical Depression Ida will continue to move NE, dragging a weak cold front into south Mississippi Thursday morning. Northwesterly flow aloft will develop across the area today between the upper level High pressure over Texas…
The Gulf sea breeze will keep thunderstorm chances going into the afternoon for areas along and south of I-10. Meanwhile, slightly drier air will attempt to work into southeastern LA which should scatter out some cloud cover areas north of…
Hurricane Ida made landfall at 11:55 am in Port Fourchon, Louisiana’s southernmost port. As this storm continue to move NNW, conditions in south Mississippi will continue to go downhill. Coastal Mississippi will see more flooding as winds from the east…
Guidance is relatively tight in terms of Louisiana as the most likely to be impacted. The timing and the intensity of Ida is the main forecast concerns. Ia could potentially become a MAJOR HURRICANE prior to making landfall in SE…
Showers/t-storms will develop late morning and early afternoon, a few thunderstorms could produce rain rates of 2-4" per hour and this could cause some very localized flooding of poor drainage areas. Thursday will be different as a wetter scenario develops…
Upper level high-pressure is expected to weaken slightly over the next few days. Southerly surface winds will help to advect warm air and moisture into the region, which will help enhance lifting and humidity in the environment. As a result,…
Today may actually be the coolest day of the next 3-4 days with highs climbing into the mid-90s across much of the area. Once we heat up the heat index values will climb and climb quickly with a good chunk…
Isolated-Scattered showers and t-storms will be possible each day over the next couple of days, primarily during the peak daytime afternoon heating hours. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible inside thunderstorm development, based on the model consensus and parameters. Heat…
Winds from the southwest will spread over the entire area throughout the day today which will help to bring back a steady increase in moisture. The typical summertime pattern will dominate with mostly clear skies in the morning with clouds…
TS Fred is in the NE'tern GOM moving north towards the Florida panhandle with landfall later this afternoon. A front moving in and stalling over the region from the northwest will bring more showers and thunderstorms to the area today…
Another day of afternoon shower and thunderstorm activity is on tap with precipitation chances a good deal higher overall than they were yesterday, mainly during the peak heating of the afternoon hours. The main concern with the rainfall today will…
With high-pressure shaping the forecast, daily high temperatures generally in the 90 to 95 range and afternoon dew-points in the lower and mid 70s will make for somewhat uncomfortable conditions. Moisture flow south of the interstate will be more abundant than…
A Weak frontal boundary draped along the lower Tennessee valley will continue to slide east and out of the region, high-pressure will slowly build eastward through Friday as this weakness moves off the east coast over the next 48 hours.…
A stalled frontal boundary from the Carolinas to southeast Texas will slowly shift north and wash out by Thursday afternoon. High-pressure over the mid-section of the country will build slowly eastward by Thursday bringing lower rain chances and a return…
An area of upper level weakness over New England will be in place through the early part of the week with a massive high-pressure system sitting over the western third of the country. A frontal boundary will continue to slowly…
A stationary front will continue to slowly move south and southeastward through the plains to mid/lower Mississippi Valley area, just north of the forecast area during the period. This should lead to widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms each day.…
This afternoon-Sunday, convection will initiate along the seabreeze/landbreeze boundary each day with thunderstorms initially forming along the weak landbreeze boundary in the offshore waters and then gradually moving inland through the day as a seabreeze boundary forms and intensifies. The…
This afternoon though the weekend, south Mississippi will be in the middle of lower moisture to the east, higher moisture to the west. Convection in the onshore flow should remain isolated to scattered, with the best coverage over the western…
With daytime heating, afternoon showers/t-storms will affect the area with the activity diminishing around sunset. By Tuesday, the upper-level dynamics supporting showers/t-storms upstream of the zonal deep-layer flow exits towards our north, as we settle into overall weaker moisture flow.…
This afternoon will bring scattered showers and t-storms. A southerly surface winds will help to enhance the warm air and moisture advection into the area, which will enhance the lifting in the environment. Models indicate the possibility for locally heavy…
A break from the rain this afternoon as organized activity will begin moving back into the area this evening...
The area will get a break from the torrential rainfall for the next 18 hours...
T-Storms and heavy rain will begin to taper-off by mid-afternoon...
A complex of t-storms moving in from the west could provide for SEVERITY this afternoon...