7/12 – Rob’s “Hot & Humid” Afternoon Forecast…

7/12 - Rob's "Hot & Humid" Afternoon Forecast

With daytime heating, afternoon showers/t-storms will affect the area with the activity diminishing around sunset.

By Tuesday, the upper-level dynamics supporting showers/t-storms upstream of the zonal deep-layer flow exits towards our north, as we settle into overall weaker moisture flow. This slows down storm motion back to a crawl yet again. Models indicate a southeasterly low-level flow taking over, surging several bands of showers/storms from nocturnal convection across coastal waters inland through mid/late AM and into the PM. With weak steering flow, storm propagation will be dependent on boundary interactions but locally heavy rainfall leading to isolated flash flooding concerns will remain a risk.

Not anticipating severe weather, as even strong wind gusts will be hard to come by but worthy of watching any stronger storms in such a moist environment. Upper high-pressure over the Rockies and western Atlantic Ocean will continue to be the main players during the extended forecast period, with afternoon sea-breeze flaring up showers/t-storms.

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