6/5 – Rob Knight’s Stormy Tuesday Morning Forecast

A shortwave trough currently sliding through the Lower Mississippi Valley will be the main driver of the forecast area’s weather through tomorrow. Additionally, a stationary boundary stretched across the northern third of the area will serve as a focusing mechanism for convection today.

Given the east-west orientation of the boundary and concurrent storm motion, the threat of locally heavy rainfall will be the primary concern today as storms could potentially train over the same location.

Temps should be somewhat tempered today due to the expected convection and cloud cover, and have highs only rising into the middle 80s. The convective threat should transition to the coastal waters for tonight and tomorrow as the surface boundary sinks south toward the coastal waters.

A continuation of hot and dry weather is expected on Friday and Saturday as the broad upper level ridge continues to dominate the Lower Mississippi Valley. Temperatures will rise into the middle 90s each day, and HEAT INDICES should climb into the lower 100s. There will be a low chance of some convection developing each afternoon mainly along any pre-existing local boundaries like old outflows or the sea-breeze.