5/25 – Rob’s Memorial Day Weekend/TS ALBERTO Forecast

TS ALBERTO is now on the books as the first named storm of the 2018 Hurricane Season…

The area remains on the southern periphery of an eroding area of high pressure. With no changes in the air mass today, precip chances will stay around 50/60%. Potentially even more impactful weather still looks to be over the Memorial Day weekend.

Model disagreement has improved considerable and landfall is expected along the viewing area…south Mississippi sometime Monday afternoon.

Sunday through Tuesday will be the best chance for heavy rainfall. A flood watch will be required along with TS WATCHES/WARNINGS d heading into the weekend.

Building ridge west/southwest of the area and weak trough racing across the upper Mississippi Valley will force the tropical moisture northeast and out of the region around the middle of next week. Temperatures will bounce back into the lower to mid-90s.