10/05 Ryan’s “Summer-like” Wednesday Night Forecast

The last few evenings have been very “Summer-like.” We’ve seen daytime temperatures near in the upper 80s and nightly lows near 70 degrees with moderately humid conditions. We’ll see a few more of these days, which will gradually increase in temperature, topping out near 90 as we begin the weekend. A cold front will begin moving through the area Saturday evening, though you likely wouldn’t even notice since only a small increase in cloud cover is expected and almost zero chance of rain. After this “dry front” moves through, we’ll see increased subsidence and northerly winds, continuing to keep skies clear but also dropping our temps into the low 80s to start off next week.

The tropics are a little more concerning today. Hurricane Matthew did weaken some due to land interaction, but is already showing signs of strengthening and will likely return to Category 4 status as early as tomorrow morning. Models are bringing the system as close as Florida’s East Coast before it turns North and begins running parallel to the coastline. How far West the system pushes will determine how much of the Florida coastline sees Hurricane force winds, but damaging and dangerous storm surge, lightning, and strong t-storms will still be possible. Around the beginning of next week, Matthew appears to make a Southeasterly turn and is expected to head back towards the Bahamas and eventually make a possible second “landfall” on Florida’s East Coast. While regional weather features are set to block Matthew from moving into the Gulf, it still remains a slight possibility, so we should all try to remain vigilant and prepared for anything as we finish out the season in the next 2 months.