2/13 – Brittany’s “Pleasant” Monday Evening Forecast

Upper level ridging will dominate the pattern for the next day or so ahead of an approaching upper level trough. Southerly surface winds will help to advect warm air and moisture into the area over the next few days. Weak upper level divergence, especially during the day tomorrow, will help to enhance some lifting in the environment. Conditions will be dry tonight through Tuesday afternoon.

Tuesday through Wednesday, a shortwave trough moves down through the area before stalling briefly until it lifts northward Wednesday night. Southerly surface winds will continue to enhance warm air advection over the area. Generally, shear will be pretty weak and deep layer moisture will be lacking as this system moves through. Scattered showers and storms will be possible Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, but severe weather is not expected, looking at the latest model trends.

A front will blast through Thursday night with gusty northerly winds and much cooler temperatures filtering in. Yes, Friday will be brisk and cooler with northerly winds. We could see potentially severe weather in association with the passage of this cold front.