9/18 – Rob Knight’s “Very Active Tropics” Morning Forecast

With a very slow forward pace by Imelda, there will almost be a status quo in the forecast today. Fortunately, areas over the western most portion of the region are getting some much needed rainfall while the remainder is baking and dry.

A backdoor front will move into the area Thursday into Friday. Some showers/t-storms are expected with this front as it moves through during the day Thursday. If enough heating can be achieved Thursday, there could be a few strong or severe thunderstorms along the front as it moves through.

There is some dry air with this front but don’t see any cool air. When the dry air filters into the eastern most portion of the area, evenings and mornings should feel a little more comfortable Friday into the weekend. Models disagree on how long the dry air will stay, I’m inclined to follow the models on this bringing moisture back to the area once the Imelda remnants have departed.

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