8/27 – Rob’s Tuesday Morning Forecast

Not much change in the overall patter as an upper-level disturbance is overhead moving SE. Today will bring spotty rain early with showers/t-storms this afternoon. A cold front will move into the area Wed. Ahead of this front is where we would look for any heat advisory criteria for Wednesday. We should not reach those numbers today and that will be due to cloud cover or slightly drier air mixing down. But compressional warming ahead of the front on Wed could be a little different for those areas that don`t receive cloud cover during the hottest portion of the day. Severe weather numbers are marginal at best Wed. But there is the possibility that a t-storm could go rogue and provide for strong winds and small hail. Post front will bring rain-free conditions and low humidity Thursday/Friday.

We are beginning to move into the Cape Verde part of the tropical season. This just means that most of our tropical disturbances will move across the greater part of the Atlantic. But they do still develop locally as well. One of those Cape Verde systems is being shown as Dorian. This system will have a rough time if it does run over Hispaniola. But it is a small system and smaller systems tend to re-establish themselves better and faster than larger tropical systems if environmental conditions remain conducive. This is still quite a ways out, but since we are moving toward the peak of the season, it is always a good idea to keep up with the latest forecast.