8/17 – Rob Knight’s Monday Morning/Workweek Forecast
The area has transitioned into a drier period in terms of daily rainfall. Analysis shows strong high-pressure east of the central plains with a cold front along the Mississippi Gulf Coast. Today and Tuesday will continue to bring lower rain chance as surface high pressure builds in from the north. Expect low dew points combined with light north wind to allow temps to soar well into the mid 90s. Upper 90s will be possible at a few locations. Moisture will be quite which means that only the most determined cumulonimbus clouds will develop to produce rainfall. Sea breeze boundaries will be the areas of great chance for development.
For the remainder of the extended forecast, the area will be back into the wet pattern. Medium range models show that the local area will be caught between the Bermuda ridge and high pressure centered near the 4-Corners region. Looking at the tropics from a global scale, the GOM is wide open for tropical waves to move in. As we’re going into the peak of hurricane season, we need to keep an close eye on the Caribbean and GOM.