7/24 – Rob Knight’s “Beautiful” Late July Forecast
This morning the cold front south has become stationary.
Temperatures and dew points are running 5-7 degrees lower this morning than at the same time yesterday.
That being said, we’re still talking dew points from the upper 60s to mid-70s, and temperatures in the 70s.
Upper trough remains pretty much in place over the next 3 days, and don`t really see a strong enough impulse to drive much in the way of convection with drier air in the area. Any convection through Thursday should be very isolated, and I don’t plan on carrying a mention of precipitation over land. Temperatures, as well as humidity will be a bit lower today than the last several days.
As eastern upper trough weakens at the end of the week, it will leave a shear axis in place over the northern Gulf of Mexico through Friday into Saturday. Beyond that, troughing becomes established over the Mississippi River Valley, and moisture levels will gradually increase during the weekend into early next week. This will be reflected in an increase in precipitation chances to the 30 percent range by Sunday, and a bit higher beyond that.