6/5 – Payton’s Tuesday Afternoon Forecast

A shortwave trough currently sliding through the Lower Mississippi Valley will be the main driver of the forecast area’s weather through tomorrow.

The showers and thunderstorms we saw this morning continue to move into the open waters, but we will likely see a few more as the afternoon and evening go on.

Temps should be somewhat tempered today due to the expected convection and cloud cover, and have highs only rising into the middle 80s. The convective threat should transition to the coastal waters for tonight and tomorrow as the surface boundary sinks south toward the coastal waters.

A continuation of hot and dry weather is expected on Friday and Saturday as the broad upper level ridge continues to dominate the Lower Mississippi Valley. Temperatures will rise into the middle 90s each day, and HEAT INDICES should climb into the lower 100s. There will be a low chance of some convection developing each afternoon mainly along any pre-existing local boundaries like old outflows or the sea-breeze.

No tropical development is expected within the next five days.