6/15 – Rob Knight’s “Father’s Day Weekend” Forecast

High-pressure is pretty much dominating much of the southeastern CONUS with a weak cold front in NE’tern Mississippi. A very saturated airmass is still in place with bring the threat for scattered showers/t-storms through today with the possibility for HEAVY RAINFALL due to slow moving cells. This weekend high pressure aloft will continue to work east and will likely aid in suppressing convection some however this will not be a stout ridge and we will likely still see scattered convection in the afternoon.

Things will begin to change for Father`s Day. The mid-level ridge will work into the OH Valley region putting us in the southern periphery. At the same time a tropical wave moving through the southwestern Gulf will bring deep and rich Gulf moisture northward into the western half of the region.

This could lead to numerous to possibly widespread moderate to heavy showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon and into the evening hours.

Rain chances should begin to relax a little coming back to within normal next week.