5/2 – Midday News “Warm/Windy” Forecast
A generally quiet weather pattern continues over region as an upper level ridge begins settling in over the Gulf of Mexico today. The ridge aloft has created a warming trend and this will be even more realized today as upper-level heights increase.
Model guidance was spot on yesterday at many locations, so used model guidance for forecast highs today. That means, could be seeing highs getting quite close to the mid/upper-80s at a few locations inland from the cooler coastal waters. An upper level trough moving across the upper Mississippi Valley Thursday night followed by a more southern stream trough over the weekend will erode and suppress the ridge to the south. Low end rain chances will begin late Friday to the west, with rain chances increasing on Saturday as a frontal boundary moves into the region.
Models then show precipitation chances falling off quite a bit Sunday as the second upper trough shifts east and the boundary surges offshore.