3/28 – Rob’s “SEVERE THREAT” Mid-Week Forecast

An approaching cold front to the west will be slow to approach and move through the area. The main concern in the short term will be the potential for severe weather late Wednesday into the first half of Thursday…which should stay primarily to the west and NW.

A good bit of cloud cover in most areas with a few light showers can be expected later today…the activity will elevate overnight into Thursday. As the upper low moves eastward today, the front will get closer to the area, convergence improves and rain chances will increase across the northwest third of the region by late afternoon. As the trough amplifies Wednesday night, low and mid-level winds will increase, which will increase shear. The question will be how much instability will be available this far east of the region. The SPC is carrying northwest quarter of the region in a Slight Risk for late Wednesday night and northeast quarter of the area on Thursday; with Marginal threat most of the remainder of the area. Best heavy rain threat will be northwest of the area, but can’t totally remove the possibility in our area. Fortunately we’ve been dry for the last week and should be able to handle an inch or two of rain.

Actual frontal passage should occur Thursday night with drier air for the area for the weekend into Monday.

Categories: Weather Headlines

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *