3/15 – Rob Knight’s “Wet Period” Monday Afternoon Forecast

Scattered showers and possibly a few thunderstorms will develop across the as sufficient mid-March heating and enough moisture will be in place as a cold front approaches. Expect highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s with the forecast on the warm side of guidance. Showers and isolated storms will probably carry over into the evening and overnight hours as the boundary remains stalled north of the forecast area.

Moving into Tuesday, wet period continues as rain chances are in the 60-80%+ range again for areas along and north of I-10. Some training will be possible which could lead to flash flooding. Isolated areas of a few inches of rain will be possible.

During the day on Wednesday, models suggest convection will initiate around noon, at that same time, model soundings suggest the possibility for SEVERE WEATHER, locally we really don’t need much to get tornadoes. So am concerned with that potential as well as damaging wind. The quick moving front will then clear out the rain overnight with rain finished by sunrise Thursday.

The forecast after Wednesday night is relatively quiet. All of the main impacts will occur between now and Wednesday evening and then we will cool down and dry out.

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