The overall upper level pattern over the southeastern U.S. will generally be the same throughout this week with an upper level high-pressure centered near the Appalachian Mountains. Small changes in its strength and proximity to the viewing area will bring forth and take away daily convective coverage. For today and tomorrow, slightly weaker western side of upper high will allow for increased moisture to be capitalized on. At the same time, previous days of mid to upper 90 degree highs should be settling back down to the lower 90s.
Several models then indicate that the ridge will begin build west across the area and well into Texas. This transition should both decrease rain chances down to below isolated and increase daytime highs back into the mid-90s by Thursday. By Sunday, a weak tropical wave is expected to track east to west across the Northern Gulf will erode the ridge over the area and bring the return of higher rain chance for the weekend.