2/25 – Rob Knight’s “Major Changes” Afternoon Forecast

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After rain-free conditions this afternoon, moisture will begin moving back northward from the Gulf and a warm front will approach the coast on Tuesday. This will be the beginning of an unsettled period that is expected to last into the weekend with a considerable amount of cloudiness and a chance for showers and a few thunderstorms each day.

Increasing instability may yield a few strong to severe thunderstorms late Tuesday and Tuesday night with large hail being the primary threat.

the entire forecast area in a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms during this time period.

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Additional disturbances will bring bouts of showers and a few thunderstorms to the area throughout remainder of the week with models differing somewhat on the timing of these impulses. Although there will be a chance of rain each day, some days may be wetter than others.

Near seasonal temperatures today and Tuesday will again climb to above normal as the warm front pushes inland. Sea fog may be an issue again from Tuesday night into Friday night for the nearshore coastal waters, sounds and tidal lakes as well as the adjacent land areas of Mississippi and southeast Louisiana.