2/7 Rob “Cold Frontal Passage” Afternoon Forecast
A cold front is currently moving through the area with showers/t-storms and pockets of heavier rainfall. This will continue through mid-afternoon with a few showers lingering post frontal passage through tonight. Model soundings do show enough mid-level drying for steep lapse rates and increasing instability…which could lead to a few strong to severe thunderstorms to develop this morning along the cold front this afternoon. The main threats will likely be hail and gusty winds…with the low end chance for a tornado. The threat will diminish with time as the boundary moves through the area.
Another consequence of the early morning front is that daytime highs are likely occurring at this moment for at least half of the forecast area. Temps will steadily fall from mid upper 60s to mid to upper 40s by sunset for locations that the front comes through first.
Continued cold air advection overnight will drop temps by as much as 30 degrees compared to this morning. Thursday will just be a continuation of tonight with much cooler air moving in through the day. This will keep temps from warming up much more than about 60 degrees tomorrow, if even that.