2/6 – The Chief’s “Moisture/Warmer Temperatures Return” Monday Morning Forecast

A beautiful start to our workweek is expected with high pressure remaining in control over the area. Afternoon high temperatures will sit in the low to mid 70s under plenty of sunshine. Winds will gradually shift onshore through today which will bring even more warm air into the area along with reintroducing some moisture as well.

A frontal boundary sitting over the Gulf waters will start to pull onshore later tonight and into Tuesday as a trough amplifies upstream across the Southwestern U.S. Since we will have some moisture moving back in before this front comes onshore we could see some isolated showers on Tuesday, with rain chances in the 25-40% range throughout the day. Not really much going on in terms of instability on Tuesday so likely not going to see much in terms of thunderstorms, but don’t want to rule out a rumble of thunder or two. As the onshore flow continues on Tuesday we will see cloud cover return due to the moisture advection that will be taking place.

Focus quickly turns heading through midweek as our next impactful weather system makes its approach. A cold front will sweep across the Lower Mississippi Valley Wednesday and into Thursday. The area is under a Marginal Risk for both severe weather and excessive rainfall. The front looks to race through most of the area fairly quickly, but it does start to stall across eastern areas and over the marine zones. Beyond the main convection associated with the cold front, we may see some lingering showers and storms for eastern and marine areas later into Thursday and early Friday as the front stalls. The front will finally get pushed out of here as a upper level kicker pushes it to the east by Friday afternoon. Low temperatures heading into the weekend will fall into the 30s and 40s for most areas.