2/22 – Rob Knight’s WARM & HUMID Friday Morning Forecast
Areas of fog are again being observed across the forecast area early this morning, although not a dense and widespread as the past couple of morning at this point so far. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect through mid/late morning.
A frontal boundary continues to bisect the forecast area and will push north of the area as a warm front today. Despite the overcast skies this morning, the sun will likely peek through the clouds at times this afternoon. Temperatures will again be well above normal with highs in the mid/upper 70s. Some instability and a juicy atmosphere should yield isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms today.
A vigorous system will push into the middle and upper Mississippi Valleys Saturday night. An associated strong cold front will push across the forecast area late Saturday and Saturday night. Along and ahead of this front, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected. Models continue to advertise that the best dynamics will pass to the north of the local forecast; however, moderate instability and sufficient shear will be present for the possibility of strong to severe convection…primarily during the afternoon and evening hours Saturday.
SPC has indicated a Marginal Risk for severe weather across the forecast area Saturday and Saturday night, with a Slight Risk for severe weather across extreme southwest Mississippi and parts of east central Louisiana.
After this system moves off to the east Saturday night and early Sunday, a dry couple of days will be in the offing for Sunday and Monday.