2/15 – Payton’s Thursday Afternoon Forecast

Water temps are doing a great job at causing fog throughout the day…with a DENSE FOG advisory in effect through noon for the sound. Expect this scenario to continue tomorrow morning as a weak cold front will approach the region/area. There is a deep dry layer of air that will move in off the gulf as the fog should lift into a stratus deck at around three thousand feet.

Models show the inversion layer lifting as this occurs which signals more sunshine thris afternoon as the cloud deck should be breaking up by mid to late morning allowing this heating to take place as the models show. Even though every model wants to keep cloudy skies all day, will show some breaking up of these clouds by mid to late morning allowing some areas to heat toward record highs. But record highs will hinge greatly on how much these decks break.

If fog is able to form again tonight, and it should, it may stay in for a while into Friday as a cold front will be moving slowly southward providing conditions that promote fog and allow it toremain locked over the area. This is especially true since the front will begin to slow and stall near the coast where the front`s pooling moisture can linger. Another push comes again
Saturday as well but the front will stall near the coast. So, long story short, there could be some redundant nights of fog into the weekend. But we will need to assess each night with each coming day.

After the weekend, the next cold front also looks to move near or into the area and stall by mid-week. This front could a little better dynamic help though as the subtropical jet looks to be more
active along the frontal axis where winds should become more parallel to the boundary with time.

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