2/11 – Rob’s “Afternoon HEAVY RAIN” Forecast

A front in central Louisiana will slowly push to the GOM by late afternoon. Expect nearly 100% coverage with a mix of showers and thunderstorms.

Some areas could see 1-2 of rainfall through this afternoon, with small hail and gusting winds a possibility.

Steady cold air advection will keep highs on Friday down to low 40s and 50s. Guidance suggests that overrunning moisture will continue Friday into Saturday morning before rain shifts east. There’s a small window of opportunity for some sleet or possibly freezing rain in SW MISSISSIPPI. It’ll be short lived as temps quickly rise into the 40s.

This extended portion of the forecast continues to be the most challenging for a couple reasons. Frozen precip potential with terrible model consistency. Don’t feel like there’s much question that it will precip over the area at some point early next week. It’s just a matter of whether the lower portions of the atmosphere will support anything frozen. Some sleet and/or freezing rain will be possible briefly along and north of I-10 very early Tuesday morning. Areas south of I-10 will more likely just see rain.

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