2/1 – Rob Knight’s “1st Day of February/Warmer” Forecast
With an area of low-pressure in the W/Central GOM moving east, rain showers have remained mostly along the sound this morning. Some of the activity is spreading into the coastal counties and will continue at least through midday. Most short term model guidance doesn’t keep the rain in the area long, as the weak shortwave trough pushes through and a weak surface low continues to try to develop over the Gulf. Regardless of development of the low, it should remain well south of the area, keeping most of the rain offshore. Otherwise, the rest of the day remains cloudy with temperatures generally in the lower 60s, near our climatological normal for the first day of February.
Rain chances continue over the weekend although they are not terribly high as another weak impulse moves through the area tomorrow. Temperatures continue to moderate with highs on Sunday in the upper 60s to near 70 in most locations. Model differences come into play next week as a cold front tries to push into the area. Regardless, above seasonal temperatures will continue into much of the next workweek.