12/28 – Rob Knight’s “Super Warm Conditions” Wednesday Afternoon Forecast

This afternoon will remain mostly quiet outside of a couple possible showers over the coastal waters. We see our first real warm-up day of the warming trend that will continue through what looks to be the next several days. High temperatures this afternoon are forecast to reach the mid-60s to low 70s for all.

Going to hit on the fog potential, moisture values will continue to rise throughout the day, reaching the 50s and even 60s for some areas by late tonight. These warmer dew points advecting over the cooler nearshore coastal water temperatures would make one think we`re heading into a pretty good pattern for sea fog. While that definitely is a possibility. Now hitting on the heavy rain and severe potential, a major disturbance is starting to dig down through the western U.S right now and this is what will bring our next potential for rain and storms. This disturbance will continue to move down towards the Southern Plains, with embedded minor features sitting within it as it approaches. A wide area of showers will start to spread across the area heading into early Friday on the leading edge. Ahead of this convection, plenty of moisture will be available with moisture rapidly rising thanks to southeasterly flow in the days leading up to this event. Precipitation doesn’t look to hang up as much as it did over the last couple days, however the ample moisture available a few cells could easily bring heavy rainfall. WPC does have us outlooked for a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall for Friday. In terms of the severe potential, I would not be surprised to see SPC put us in a Marginal Risk for Friday.

Once the rain and storms move out sometime Saturday morning we will likely be dry the rest of the day. No cool down expected behind this system, with high temperatures remaining in the 70s.

Categories: Weather Headlines