11/6 – Rob’s Warm/Humid Early November Forecast
Foggy morning conditions continue from the weekend as a warm/humid air mass continues to dominate the Mississippi coast. A broad upper high pressure ridge centered over Mexico remains in control of our weather. Some moisture remains mainly at the SFC through 7K ft. After some morning patchy dense fog, temperatures will warm into the 80s once again today and Tuesday. Tuesday will be the warmest temperatures of this period with mid 80s expected at several locations.
The next weather maker is currently getting its act together in the Pacific northwest. Models indicate more consistent in development and timing as this system is poised to move through our area later this week. So changes are on the way as this upper shortwave trough further develops. The ridge of high pressure will retrograde west as this shortwave progressively moves southeast. A front sags through the area Wednesday and into the Gulf of Mexico Wednesday night ahead of the main upper shortwave energy. Winds will shift out of the north following the front dropping temperatures. Model soundings do show some cooling aloft thus could be a few thunderstorms mid-week. A few could produce some gusty winds with the cooler “downbursts” temperatures, along with the chance of rain will come cooler temperatures. With showers and increased cloud cover, highs will be slightly cooler Wednesday but drop into the mid-60s to near 70 Thursday. Friday and Saturday mornings look chilly with lows in the 50s. Moderation of temperatures and a few spots could see an isolated shower on Sunday and into early next week as an upper shortwave trough develops over the southeast.