11/2 – Rob’s “Warm & Humid” Forecast

Showers hung around through much of the evening over portions of the area and a few were still over southwestern Mississippi. Temps are warmer than previous mornings thanks to the increase in moisture with morning lows likely in the mid/upper 60s through the weekend. We will be between systems today so not expecting much in the way of convection however some daytime heating along with the slow increase in LL moisture could yield a few showers. Biggest concern will be fog potential tonight. As mentioned earlier LL moisture will continue to increase; combine that with what should be few clouds and light winds at the surface and the fog potential is pretty good especially along the rivers through the weekend.

The next system will amplify slightly as it moves into the southern plains tonight and then slowly east into the ARKLATEX and then Lower Mississippi Friday and Friday night. The bulk of the support will remain north of the region and with that we will likely just see a few showers and t-storms during the afternoon and possibly persisting through much of the night across the northern 3rd of the region. We will likely not see much across the coastal sections of the area but the fog concern returns Friday night especially for the southern half of the CWA. Heading into the weekend as the system pushes southeast of the region we will begin to see ridging build over the area. This will lead to temperatures warming a little more with highs in the lower 80s…possibly touching the mid 80s in a few locations. High pressure is expected to dominate the region through the first half of the work week. This will continue to lead to well above normal temperatures and generally dry weather. As we move into the back half of the workweek it looks like the ridge should get suppressed as a rather strong disturbance works through the central CONUS. This will hopefully send a cold front into the region to at least knock down temps back to near normal. Also could lead to a slight increase in rain chances but could also be a mostly dry front.

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