11/14 – Jeff Vorick’s “Rain/Thunderstorms Tonight” Monday Afternoon Forecast

Despite the very cold start, temperatures are warming in quick order. High temperatures will struggle to reach the 60s across South Mississippi. Northeast winds will become easterly this afternoon around 10 to 15 MPH. Cloud coverage will be in place ahead of our next storm system.

The storm system is forming in the western Gulf of Mexico and will move east through the day. Mostly cloudy skies will be in place by this evening with rain chances beginning after sunset. Steady rainfall will be falling north of the warm front across much of the area by midnight. The warm front lifts through the area, providing for thunderstorms during the pre-dawn hours. There is a risk of strong-to-severe thunderstorms in the early morning hours. A threat of strong damaging winds will be in play.

The bulk of the activity clears the area after sunrise. There is a 40% chance of showers before noon along and behind the cold front. Cloud coverage will remain after the system passes through. The clouds will gradually lift and there will be breaks in the clouds Tuesday afternoon.

The pattern will revert to cold temperatures and partly cloudy skies for the middle of the work week. There is an opportunity for clearer skies Friday between storm systems. The next rain chance following tonight’s will be this weekend. A similar system to this one will form in the western Gulf of Mexico. Timing will be hashed out later this week as guidance becomes more clear.

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