11/1 – Rob Knight’s “Monday Morning/1st Workweek of November” Forecast

A very dry and stable airmass in place will affect the Mississippi Gulf Coast through mid-week. Overall, the pleasant period of weather experienced over the weekend will continue through Tuesday. Skies will remain mainly clear, humidity values will remain low, and temperatures will be near seasonal averages. Additionally, a risk of some fog forming each night will persist due to the combination of light boundary layer flow and strong radiational cooling expected each night.

Wednesday into Wednesday night will be a period of transition as a broad disturbance deepens over the Plains and Midwest. A pool of deeper moisture should begin to advect into the forecast area by Wednesday night. Moisture will gradually build down from aloft through the night. The combination of increasing moisture and lift will support the development of scattered showers by late Wednesday night over most of the forecast area. The rain should be on the lighter side, and a lack of any decent instability will prohibit much in the way of thunderstorm development.

This disturbance will move east through Florida and towards the Atlantic coast by Friday and Friday night with surface high pressure and drier and colder air surging into the forecast area for the weekend.