10/24 Ryan’s “First Chilly”
Today is definitely in the running for the most perfect fall day so far, but the next few nights will be the first chilly ones we’ve had since we were still in winter earlier this year. The outer periphery of the large ridge centered over the Rockies is just beginning to slide into the Southeast, which will keep skies clear and temperatures down into the weekend. Tonight’s low will range from 44 on the coast, to the upper 30s in the inland areas with the local humidity about as low as it goes. A shortwave low pressure feature will bring breezy winds from the Northwest around 15-20 mph through the night, but will lessen tomorrow afternoon into a light wind. Temperatures will begin to slowly climb back into the mid-to-upper 70s just before the weekend after “return flow” sets up late Thursday or early Friday. As usual this is just a precursor to another cold front, which is expected to move through the area Saturday afternoon. It’s still too early to confidently predict the possibility of severe weather, but we are moving into the “fall weather” severe season, and last Sunday’s front brought at least one damaging tornado to the area. Afterwards, expect another round of cooling and drying to begin next week.
One area of interest is being watched in the SW Caribbean Sea, but it doesn’t seem to be an issue for South Mississippi or the Northern Gulf. Current model runs have it drifting slowly northward, then being pushed almost due East by the cold front moving into South Florida.