10/20 – Jeff Vorick’s “Warming Trend Begins” Thursday Midday Forecast

The bulk of the cold airmass has begun to slide east. High pressure to our north will continually move to its southeast which will provide for a wind shift. Our winds will become westerly around 8-10 MPH this afternoon with high temperatures reaching the upper-60s. By Friday winds will be southerly.

The rest of the forecast going into this weekend looks to be quiet with a slow warm-up expected. The upper high that moves in Friday will transition into more zonal flow which will provide for moderation to seasonal temperatures. Low level moisture will return to the area as onshore flow develops. Overall moisture will remain low this weekend so an increase in non-rain-producing clouds is expected. High temperatures will warm to the low-80s by the end of the weekend, morning lows in the 50s and 60s. An increase in humidity is expected following the moderation of this week’s very dry airmass.

Moving into next week, guidance shows a system coming out of the Rockies Monday evening and swinging through the lower Mississippi Valley. As it does so, it picks up and absorbs a low pressure coming up from Mexico. The potential for severe parameters will increase with the approaching system; a complex of showers and thunderstorms could bring severe weather east of the Continental Divide. The majority of the severity will stay to the north of the area at this time. But we will continue to monitor the situation accordingly.

 

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