08/22 Ryan’s “Dry & Clear” Tuesday Night Forecast
It was another hot and humid afternoon, with sticky conditions and heat indices in the upper 90s to low 100s across the area, and a dry & clear evening. A few showers did move in from the Gulf early in the afternoon, but dried up quickly as they moved inland. They did leave a significant amount of cloud cover behind, though even that is expected to thin through the overnight hours. The dry conditions don’t last forever though, precipitable water goes up to around 2.2″ and scattered showers are expected for much of the day tomorrow and Thursday, but Friday should be another drier day with mostly clear skies. The weekend and beginning of next week is looking stormy again, due in part to interaction with either Harvey, or the remnants of Harvey. There is still considerable disagreement between models at this time, so more study is warranted.
As far as the tropics go, Harvey is expected to re-form by Thursday after moving Northwestward into the Bay of Campeche, where conditions are more favorable for development and sea surface temperatures are warm. Almost all models have this storm moving into the Corpus Christi area by Friday, and possibly hugging the coast as it moves Northeast through the weekend. Another disturbance in the Central Bahamas has a low chance of becoming a tropical system, only 30%, but will bring heavy rains to the Western Caribbean and parts of the Florida peninsula.