08/18 Ryan’s “Pre-Eclipse” Friday Forecast
The total solar eclipse begins Monday around noon, so this is the last chance I’ll have to talk about it before it ends on Monday afternoon. The first part of today’s forecast explains what the eclipse is all about, how to view it safely, and what we can expect locally as far as sky conditions, weather, and local eclipse effects.
The local weather will be hot and humid with afternoon thunderstorms. We’ll begin in the mid 90s, and will cool by a few degrees as we head into the beginning of the week and cloud cover/rain increase. This very similar pattern will carry over well through the rest of the week and into next weekend.
The tropics remain quite active. TS Harvey continues to move Westward, and is currently not expected to turn far enough North to enter the Gulf of Mexico. The current forecast has it moving into the Bay of Campeche by Wednesday as a tropical storm. The disturbance just to the Northeast of Harvey has lost some of its integrity as upper level conditions become less favorable for development. If this storm doesn’t form soon, it’s unlikely that it will. The last disturbance is still moving away from the African Coast and is now SW of the Cabo Verde Islands. No development is expected until the beginning of next week, so this one only has a 40% chance.