08/02 Ryan’s “Rain Begins” Wednesday Night Forecast
It was another hot and somewhat drier day in South MS, but as the cloud cover and rain moves in we’ll see those humidity values skyrocket. Clouds will continue to increase through the rest of the evening and I’m expecting scattered showers to begin popping up over the next few hours. Rain chances will increase through the night and into tomorrow afternoon, when the daytime heating and dynamic “frontal” lift will lead to the formation of thunderstorms. These thunderstorms are expected to remain below the threshold for severe weather, but an isolated strong storm or two can’t be ruled out. Since the boundary that moved in to day will stall over the area, these rainy conditions will last through the weekend and into the beginning of the week.
The tropics are beginning to heat up now that August has arrived, and the likely formation zones are beginning to shift toward the West. That means the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Southwestern area of the Atlantic Basin will become more active. Currently only one area just off of the West Coast of Africa has any chance of forming within the next 5 days, and it’s only 30%.