06/11 Ryan’s “Rainy Week” Monday Evening Forecast

Last week was sunny and reasonable with very few showers, but this one will be quite rainy. It won’t be a complete washout though.

There will be a few shortwave impulses to assist in shower development, but for the most part these they’ll be daytime heating driven.

New rain totals for each day will fall between 0.25-0.50″, but localized areas will be higher depending on storm speed/movement. This “summertime” pattern will hold for the rest of the week, but rain totals shouldn’t average more than 1.50″ across South Mississippi.

The area of the tropics we’ve been looking at for most of last week finally has some activity.

A surface low, tropical wave, and upper level trough are interacting to form a large area of disorganized showers and t-storms. The NHC has given this area a low chance of tropical development as it slowly drifts toward the Southwestern Gulf.