Ryan’s “Thundery Thursday” Forecast
What a day we had for weather in South Mississippi today! In yesterday’s forecast I called for partly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of rain, but we ended up with a bit more than that. Always one to admit when I’m wrong(ish), it didn’t take long to figure out what had happened. Yesterday’s oppressive heat returned and while I was correct that the cloud cover would increase, it didn’t block much of the sun’s rays early in the day and things got hot quickly with an afternoon high at 95 in Gulfport. This higher temperature was enough for the area to reach the “convective temperature,” which is the temperature at which air will start rising, condensing, and eventually cause storms. Luckily for us, the storms and their associated clouds covered the area quickly, effectively nullifying the heat advisory in place from earlier in the afternoon. These afternoon t-storms were a bit stronger than the usual garden variety, bringing thousands of radar indicated lightning strikes and areas of rainfall exceeding 3″ per hour. An EF-0 tornado touched down in New Orleans, causing significant damage but only minor injuries. There is some great viewer footage of the funnel cloud as it passed over the city in the forecast video above. Not much changes in the coming days, we can expect continued hot and humid days with a significant chance of afternoon t-storms, some of which may become strong like today’s were. That pattern gets us through the weekend, then further showers and cloud cover linger around to start the week, but thankfully will help keep temperatures low since I’m expecting the 80s to return for a day or two around next Wednesday.