Ryan’s “Rainy” Wednesday Night Forecast

We’ve been eyeing tonight as the night rainy conditions return to the coast, but the severe threat seems to be lessening. Generally stable, dry air resides above our cloud layer and will drastically limit convective potential, though a few thunderstorms are not out of the question. The primary severe threats for the night are damaging winds and small hail, but chances for both are quite low. A few showers can linger into the early morning hours, but will be completely gone by around 10 am. Skies will remain cloudy at first, then gradually clear to at least mostly sunny with a high near 80.

Don’t expect any cooling/drying behind this front because as soon as it passes, a warm front begins developing on the tail end, bringing warm & moist air back almost immediately. This warming trend continues through most of the weekend, with each day being more humid than the last until the next frontal system moves in on Sunday night. This particular low pressure trough will seems to be taking on “negative tilt” characteristics which generally imply stronger storms. It’s still a day or two early for any real clarity on exactly what this system holds for South MS, but it’s certainly worrisome and will bear watching through the weekend.